Tibleu donne une trajectoire un peu hésitante qui la fait passer sur la Guadeloupe et les îles au nord.
La trajectoire du centre de prévision des cyclones de Miami la fait passer un peu plus au nord frolant ainsi les leewards islands.
La mer est chaude (négatif) la zone de haute pression du centre atlantique empèche cette dépression de monter (négatif)… pour les autres paramètres consulter TIBLEU
http://perso.orange.fr/ti.bleu/html/index2.htm
ou lire le Bulletin de météo de Brown ci-après.
000
ABNT20 KNHC 130902
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT MON AUG 13 2007
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…
A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS PRODUCING
A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT BUT COULD BECOME A LITTLE
MORE FAVORABLE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
A LOW PRESSURE AREA…ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE…IS LOCATED
OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR ON TUESDAY.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
FORECASTER BROWN
Guadeloupe Attitude 